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Tropical Weather Update


939 
ABNT20 KNHC 260536
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak low pressure system located about 100 miles south-southwest
of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is producing disorganized shower
activity, mainly to the east of the center. Strong upper-level winds
are expected to increase further over the system today, and the
chances for tropical cyclone formation are decreasing.  The low is
forecast to move north-northeastward along or near the North
Carolina coast later this morning, and it could produce scattered
showers and dangerous surf and rip currents across eastern North
Carolina as it passes by. The low is expected to move northeastward
and merge with a frontal system or dissipate offshore of the New
England coast on Thursday. For more information, please see products
from your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Thunderstorm activity has increased and become better organized in
association with the remnants of Kirk located about 650 miles east
of the Windward Islands. Recent satellite-derived wind data also
indicate that the circulation has become better defined and that the
winds have increased. If this development trend continues, then
advisories will be re-initiated on this system later this morning.
Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is schedule to investigate this disturbance later today.
For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie centered about 850 miles west-southwest
of the Azores is producing disorganized shower activity and
gale-force winds.  Leslie is expected to reacquire subtropical or
tropical characteristics on Thursday or Friday while the cyclone
meanders over the north-central Atlantic.  For more information on
this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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Marine Weather Forecast

FZUS52 KJAX 260727
CWFJAX

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northeast Florida/Southeast Georgia
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
327 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

Atlantic Coastal Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Flagler Beach FL
out to 60 nm.

Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest
1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average
highest 1/10 of the waves.

AMZ400-261530-
Synopsis for Altamaha Sound GA to Flagler Beach FL out to 60 nm-
327 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

SYNOPSIS

High pressure persists through the week as a weak cold front
attempts to push into the local area by the weekend before
dissipating. A ribbon of deep moisture associated with the front
pushes southward over the waters on Sunday and into early next
week as high pressure shifts northward.



AMZ450-452-454-261530-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
327 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

TODAY
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period
8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of thunderstorms
and a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.

TONIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period
8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of thunderstorms
and a slight chance of showers in the evening.

THURSDAY
South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to
3 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to
4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after midnight.

FRIDAY
South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast
in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to
4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
East southeast winds 5 to
10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet.
Inland waters mostly smooth. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet
with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms.



AMZ470-472-474-261530-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
327 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

TODAY
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period
8 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the morning.

TONIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period
8 seconds.

THURSDAY
South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to
4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet
with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.

FRIDAY
South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast
in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to
6 feet. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to
5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
East southeast winds 5 to
10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet
with occasional seas up to 9 feet. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.



Point Forecast Weather for 5 Miles SW Kingsland GA Latitude: 30.7315 Longitude: -81.725

NOAA National Weather Service Marine Forecasts

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Buoy Reports

Observations from ships and stations within 100 nautical miles of Little St. Marys River, St. Marys River, Florida Latitude: 30.7315 Longitude: -81.725
Recent Observations
  • Station FRDF1 - 8720030 - FERNANDINA BEACH, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.675N 81.465W or 14 nautical miles ESE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: S (190°)
    Wind Speed: 1 knots
    Wind Gust: 3 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.11 in (1019.6 mb)
    Air Temperature: 80°F (26.7°C)
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.3°C)

  • Station DMSF1 - 8720219 - DAMES POINT, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.387N 81.559W or 22 nautical miles SSE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.7°C)

  • Station 41112 - OFFSHORE FERNANDINA BEACH, FL (132)

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.709N 81.292W or 23 nautical miles E of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Significant Wave Height: 3 ft
    Dominant Wave Period: 9 sec
    Average Period: 5.2 sec
    Mean Wave Direction: E (84°)
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.4°C)

  • Station BLIF1 - 8720233 - BLOUNT ISLAND COMMAND, ST JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.393N 81.523W or 23 nautical miles SSE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: SW (220°)
    Wind Speed: 3 knots
    Wind Gust: 4 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.11 in (1019.8 mb)
    Air Temperature: 79°F (26.1°C)
    Dew Point: 79°F (26.1°C)

  • Station MYPF1 - 8720218 - MAYPORT (BAR PILOTS DOCK), FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.398N 81.428W or 25 nautical miles SE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: W (260°)
    Wind Speed: 4 knots
    Wind Gust: 5 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1019.1 mb)
    Air Temperature: 79°F (26.1°C)
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.6°C)

  • Station LTJF1 - 8720228 - LITTLE JETTIES, ST. JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 30.379N 81.446W or 26 nautical miles SE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Air Temperature: 78°F (25.8°C)
    Dew Point: 74°F (23.1°C)

  • Station SAXG1 - MARSH ISLAND, SAPELO ISLAND RESERVE, GA

    September 26, 2018 3:00 am EST
    Location: 31.418N 81.296W or 47 nautical miles NNE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Speed: 0 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1019.0 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.03 in (-1.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 75°F (24.0°C)
    Dew Point: 73°F (22.5°C)

  • Station RCYF1 - 8720625 - RACY POINT, ST. JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 29.8N 81.55W or 57 nautical miles S of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.2°C)

  • Station SAUF1 - ST. AUGUSTINE, FL

    September 26, 2018 3:00 am EST
    Location: 29.857N 81.265W or 58 nautical miles SSE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: SW (230°)
    Wind Speed: 5 knots
    Wind Gust: 7 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1018.8 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.04 in (-1.2 mb)
    Air Temperature: 82°F (27.5°C)
    Water Temperature: 84°F (28.7°C)

  • Station 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH, GA

    September 26, 2018 2:50 am EST
    Location: 31.4N 80.868W or 60 nautical miles NE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: S (190°)
    Wind Speed: 8 knots
    Wind Gust: 10 knots
    Significant Wave Height: 3 ft
    Dominant Wave Period: 8 sec
    Average Period: 5.9 sec
    Mean Wave Direction: ENE (70°)
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1019.1 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.03 in (-1.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 82°F (27.7°C)
    Dew Point: 73°F (22.5°C)
    Water Temperature: 84°F (28.9°C)

  • Station GTXF1 - PELLICER CREEK, GUANA TOLOMATO MATANZAS RESERVE, FL

    September 26, 2018 2:45 am EST
    Location: 29.658N 81.233W or 69 nautical miles SSE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: SW (220°)
    Wind Speed: 2 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.12 in (1020.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 77°F (25.2°C)
    Dew Point: 75°F (23.7°C)

  • Station FPKG1 - 8670870 - FORT PULASKI, GA

    September 26, 2018 3:30 am EST
    Location: 32.035N 80.903W or 89 nautical miles NNE of 30.73N 81.73W.
    Wind Direction: NW (320°)
    Wind Speed: 3 knots
    Wind Gust: 4 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.10 in (1019.3 mb)
    Air Temperature: 78°F (25.5°C)
    Water Temperature: 82°F (28.0°C)


B = Buoy, C = C-MAN Station, D = Drifting Buoy, S = Ship, O = Other
Data provided by the National Data Buoy Center

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This Page Delivered 04:59:05 9/26/2018This Page Delivered 04:59:05 9/26/2018 .

Page Author : Greg Johnson Contact Email:

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